Obama Off To An Early Lead!
The first two precincts in the nation have already closed...in the tiny towns of Dixville Notch and Hart's Location, New Hampshire. Both are historically Republican strongholds, but Obama won Hart's 17-10 and Dixville 15-6. Comparatively, Bush and Kerry tied in Hart's four years ago while Bush won Dixville 19-7. Better luck next time McCain!
Seriously though, I'm actually surprised that I head into election day making only one change to my pre-election predictions in the Presidential, Senate, and House races. In the Presidential race, I still predict a 291-247 Obama victory, with Obama holding the Kerry states and picking up IA, NM, CO, VA, and NV. McCain will eke out wins in OH and FL, and win fairly decisively in NC, MO, and IN.
My only switched calls is in the Senate, where I now predict post-conviction Ted Stevens to fall to Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich in the Alaska Senate race, raising the number of Democratic victories to six.
We'll see how much crow I have to eat tomorrow at this time.
Seriously though, I'm actually surprised that I head into election day making only one change to my pre-election predictions in the Presidential, Senate, and House races. In the Presidential race, I still predict a 291-247 Obama victory, with Obama holding the Kerry states and picking up IA, NM, CO, VA, and NV. McCain will eke out wins in OH and FL, and win fairly decisively in NC, MO, and IN.
My only switched calls is in the Senate, where I now predict post-conviction Ted Stevens to fall to Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich in the Alaska Senate race, raising the number of Democratic victories to six.
We'll see how much crow I have to eat tomorrow at this time.
posted by Mark at 10:06 PM
1 Comments:
I'm having my usual election eve sleepless night. Totally sucks. And it's not even because I'm all wound up...I just have recurring insomnia issues and it seems to hit at the worst time. I have half a day off tomorrow but this still throws a monkey wrench in my plans given that it's 3:45 a.m. and I'm still wide awake. Sigh...
Anyway, I like your predictions better than mine, but I'm surprised you didn't pick Oregon to go for Merkley in the Senate race.
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