Still Too Soon To Call?
I've been waiting all week to make a final tally of my predictions, but there are still a handful of House races where there has yet to be a call because of outstanding provisional ballots. I'd be surprised if the outcome is changed in any of the remaining races at this point, but I continue to wait patiently just in case.
For the past 10 days, almost all of my free time has gone to the digestion of election returns at the micro-level (by county, by city). I expect this cycle to continue for the next three or four weeks. As I've been saying for years now, election night is only the beginning of the fun for true political junkies.
For the past 10 days, almost all of my free time has gone to the digestion of election returns at the micro-level (by county, by city). I expect this cycle to continue for the next three or four weeks. As I've been saying for years now, election night is only the beginning of the fun for true political junkies.
posted by Mark at 9:11 PM
5 Comments:
Election night is only the beginning of the fun for true political junkies.
TELL me about it! :P I too am processing all the results including the not-yet-called races, in addition to seeing how to best keep our majority in 2008. I've already put in results tables for the governor, Senate, and competitive House races (as well as the results of every statewide and House race in California and Texas, which was quite a task!), as well as giving my preliminary outlook for how each state will vote in the Presidential race if it's a generic Democrat vs. a generic Republican and the 2008 Senate races. Our prospects look very good in Colorado, New Hampshire, and Minnesota (I'm rooting for Betty McCollum to take out Norm so Minnesota can join California, Maine, and Washington in having an all-female Senate delegation).
I've been talking a lot with my California friends about 2008, which will be quite interesting in the state. Most of our focus will be on House races such as CA-04 and CA-41 since no statewide office and neither Senator is up for reelection that year, and just about any Democrat has a lock on California for the presidency (unless we get a highly unlikely Hillary-Giuliani matchup).
And in the Lone Star State we are already talking about who can best unseat that rubber stamp we have in John Cornyn. I think popular Houston mayor Bill White (who was recently reelected with 90% of the vote) may be our best bet and most likely stronger than Bell or Barb, who are also potential candidates. We are also working our hearts out to keep Nick Lampson in...
With John Barrow confirmed to have held on to GA-12, we can now safely say that every Democratic-held seat stayed in Democratic hands this election cycle....something very worthy of acclaim.
CNN's website offers the most thorough election returns that I've seen...and if their 2004 performance is any indication, they will adjust their numbers to reflect the official vote count once those numbers are confirmed before year's end.
It'll be a few months before I'm ready to analyze 2008 with any vigor, either at the localized or Presidential level. Even I take a few months off from intense politiciking following elections.
Oh. And congratulations on all your statewide offices (Auditor, Sec of State, AG) going for the good guys even though they faced seemingly insurmountable odds. I can say the same with Bowen in the Sec of State race back home, and at least most of our other statewide offices stayed with the good guys.
And here are some tips on how to add links to other blogs in the blogroll: On the dashboard, click the name of your blog and then click on the "Template" tab. When you are in the "Edit Template" page, scroll down to the section that begins with "MainOrArchivePage" (Blogger won't let me paste the actual URL into comments). In the "sidebar-title" line, you can replace the "Links" default title with a title of your choosing. You can add as many links as you want, and you can replace the
http://help.blogger.com/bin/answer.py?answer=110
with a URL, and in the "Edit-Me" part, just replace it with whatever name you want to call the site.
For example, replacing
http://help.blogger.com/bin/answer.py?answer=110
with
http://californianintexas.blogspot.com"
and "Edit-Me" with "Californian in Texas" will enable a link to my site to appear on your blogroll.
Hope this helps! ;-)
Sara, thanks for the tips. I'll get to them in the next couple of days. Sorry the blog has been so quiet in the past couple of weeks but I've been obsessively collecting as much in the way of election data as possible. I'll start making more regular posts here within the week.
And to clarify my last post, I won't be abandoning politics in the months ahead, but I probably won't be obsessing about 2008 for a few more months. I'm glad there are plenty of people able to go full speed ahead into the next election cycle immediately after one election ends. I prefer to sit back and crunch one set of election numbers, and dabble into other priorities, in the months following one election before getting too geared up for the next one. That's not to say I won't be speculating at all about 2008 in the next few months, but I also won't be like Chris Matthews hammering on election news two years away until it gets a little closer to the time the bell tolls.
Anyway, I promise to be back with some new material in the next few days. I'll entertain any suggestions for blogs worthy of blogrolling. I definitely like to get the word around about quality political blogs.
Here are some suggestions to get started with:
Daily Kos
MyDD
Swing State Project
Blue Stem Prairie (from Minnesota's 1st district!): http://www.bluestemprairie.com/a_bluestem_prairie
Dump Michele Bachmann: http://dumpbachmann.blogspot.com
Minnesota Network for Progressive Action: http://www.mnpact.org/index.php
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